Friday, 6 June 2014
The latest Ericsson (NASDAQ:ERIC) Mobility Report reveals for the first time that the number of active cellular M2M devices will increase 3-4 times by 2019, from 200 million at the end of 2013. While the majority of cellular M2M devices today are still GSM-only, that is expected to shift by 2016 when 3G/4G will represent the majority of active cellular M2M subscriptions.
Rima Qureshi, Senior Vice
President and Ericsson's Chief Strategy Officer, says: "We see cellular
M2M taking off. Over time, cellular M2M services and applications
related to, for example, intelligent transport systems, will require
very short latency in order to be efficient. By 2019 we estimate that
more than 20 percent of the active cellular M2M devices will be
connected to LTE subscriptions. We also see new device-to-device and M2M
applications as a key focus of 5G networks."
- New analysis: Machine-to-Machine (M2M) takes off with active cellular M2M devices to grow 3-4 times by 2019
- 65 percent of all phones sold in Q1 2014 were smartphones
- Mobile subscriptions to exceed world population in 2015
- 4G/LTE subscriptions to reach 85 percent in North America and 30 percent in Europe in 2019
2015: subscriptions surpass global population
Next
year the total number of mobile subscriptions will exceed the world's
population. Mobile subscriptions have grown by 7 percent year-over-year,
with 120 million net additions in Q1 alone. Mobile broadband
subscriptions also continue to grow and will reach 7.6 billion by the
end of 2019, representing more than 80 percent of total mobile
subscriptions.
2016: smartphones outnumber basic mobiles
In
two years' time, in 2016, the number of smartphone subscriptions will
exceed those for basic phones and by 2019 the number of smartphone
subscriptions is expected to reach 5.6 billion. In Europe, the number of
smartphone subscriptions will reach about 765 million in 2019 and
thereby exceed the population number.
65 percent
of all phones sold in Q1 2014 were smartphones. Compared to today, a
smartphone user in 2019 is expected to consume almost four times the
amount of mobile data per month. This contributes to the 10-fold growth
prediction in mobile data traffic between 2013 and 2019.
Qureshi
says: "The growth and the evolution in M2M and the 10-fold growth in
mobile data traffic strengthen the emphasis on network performance,
handling complexity and maximizing the user experience. This in turn
puts even higher requirements across the networks and the operations and
business support systems of the future."
2019: 4G/LTE subscription divide will be wide
In
2019, LTE population coverage in Europe will be around 80 percent, but
Europe will only see LTE subscription penetration of 30 percent compared
to 85 percent in North America the same year. Even within Europe there
will be large differences between Western Europe and Central and Eastern
Europe. Population coverage for LTE in North East Asia is expected to
be 95 percent by 2019, with LTE penetration levels at 45 percent. By the
same year, China is expected to reach over 700 million LTE
subscriptions, representing more than 25 percent of total global
subscriptions for LTE. This edition of Ericsson
Mobility Report includes further analysis of how one solution to cater
for the rising traffic levels and app requirements is to evolve mobile
broadband networks into heterogeneous networks that leverage an evolved
macro cell layer complemented with integrated small cells.
Source : Ericsson
